Marcin Tybura vs Timothy Johnson

April 9, 2016

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

976
(-24)
Marcin Tybura
Winner: Timothy Johnson
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Marcin Tybura-24
Timothy Johnson+25
1045
(+25)
Timothy Johnson

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Marcin Tybura: -32Timothy Johnson: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcin TyburaTimothy Johnson
Total UFC Fights13
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO9681 027
ELO Change-32+32
💡

What Happened

Timothy Johnson's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Timothy Johnson for the expected result. Had Marcin Tybura pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Marcin Tybura: -21Timothy Johnson: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcin TyburaTimothy Johnson
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9791 023
ELO Change-21+21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Marcin Tybura: -35Timothy Johnson: +35

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcin TyburaTimothy Johnson
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9651 090
ELO Change-35+35
💡

What Happened

Timothy Johnson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Marcin Tybura: -19Timothy Johnson: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcin TyburaTimothy Johnson
Significant Strikes Landed4845
Significant Strikes Attempted101127
Total Strikes Landed7583
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9811 079
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

Marcin Tybura controlled the striking through superior accuracy (47.5% vs 35.4%). However, since Marcin Tybura lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Timothy Johnson's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Marcin Tybura: -23Timothy Johnson: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcin TyburaTimothy Johnson
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted30
Ground Control Time1:173:44
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO9771 059
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

Timothy Johnson did not secure a significant ground advantage against Marcin Tybura on the ground with 0 takedowns, 3:44 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Marcin Tybura: -21Timothy Johnson: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcin TyburaTimothy Johnson
Days Since Last FightN/A246
Activity ELO9791 033
ELO Change-21+26
💡

What Happened

Timothy Johnson demonstrated standard activity with 246 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Timothy Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Marcin Tybura's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Marcin Tybura: -21Timothy Johnson: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcin TyburaTimothy Johnson
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9791 028
ELO Change-21+23
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What Happened

Timothy Johnson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marcin Tybura is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Marcin Tybura: -21Timothy Johnson: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcin TyburaTimothy Johnson
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9791 023
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.