July 21, 2023
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 11 | -11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 213 | 1 313 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +52 |
Tom Aspinall overcame a 11-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Marcin Tybura.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 095 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:13 | 1:13 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 396 | 1 532 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +104 |
Tom Aspinall earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:13, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 15 | 18 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 168 | 1 441 |
| ELO Change | -80 | +80 |
Tom Aspinall controlled the striking exchanges with 13 vs 4 significant strikes, 72.2% vs 26.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tom Aspinall capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 282 | 1 411 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Tom Aspinall landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | 364 |
| Activity ELO | 1 272 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Tom Aspinall demonstrated standard activity with 364 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Tom Aspinall capitalized on this activity level, while Marcin Tybura's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 148 | 1 163 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Tom Aspinall started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marcin Tybura is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 092 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.