June 4, 2021
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 221 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -18 |
Marcin Tybura overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (14 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Walt Harris.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 100 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:06 | 4:06 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 446 | 1 335 |
| ELO Change | +99 | -46 |
Marcin Tybura earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:06, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 10 | 40 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 59 | 23 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 212 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | +64 | -64 |
Walt Harris controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (23 vs 59 total strikes), significant strike advantage (23 vs 4), superior accuracy (57.5% vs 40.0%). However, since Walt Harris lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Marcin Tybura's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:18 | 0:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 342 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
Marcin Tybura edged out Walt Harris on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:18 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | 224 |
| Activity ELO | 1 285 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -13 |
Marcin Tybura demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Marcin Tybura capitalized on this activity level, while Walt Harris's 224-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 153 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -15 |
Marcin Tybura continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Walt Harris's now at 0.
| Metric | Marcin Tybura | Walt Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 097 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.