Marcio Alexandre Junior vs Warlley Alves

May 30, 2014

Ultimate Fighter Brazil 3 Middleweight Tournament Title Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

952
(-48)
Marcio Alexandre Junior
Winner: Warlley Alves
Submission
Round 3 • 0:25

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Marcio Alexandre Junior-48
Warlley Alves+51
1051
(+51)
Warlley Alves

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Marcio Alexandre Junior: -21Warlley Alves: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcio Alexandre JuniorWarlley Alves
Total UFC Fights11
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Marcio Alexandre Junior: -21Warlley Alves: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcio Alexandre JuniorWarlley Alves
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Marcio Alexandre Junior: -42Warlley Alves: +63

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcio Alexandre JuniorWarlley Alves
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round33
Time of Finish0:250:25
Win Type ELO9581 063
ELO Change-42+63
💡

What Happened

Warlley Alves earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 0:25, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Marcio Alexandre Junior was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Marcio Alexandre Junior: -74Warlley Alves: +74

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcio Alexandre JuniorWarlley Alves
Significant Strikes Landed819
Significant Strikes Attempted2139
Total Strikes Landed2244
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9261 074
ELO Change-74+74
💡

What Happened

Warlley Alves controlled the striking exchanges with 44 vs 22 total strikes, 19 vs 8 significant strikes, 48.7% vs 38.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Warlley Alves capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Marcio Alexandre Junior: -162Warlley Alves: +162

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcio Alexandre JuniorWarlley Alves
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted13
Ground Control Time0:057:38
Ground Strikes Landed09
Ground ELO8381 162
ELO Change-162+162
💡

What Happened

Warlley Alves dominated Marcio Alexandre Junior on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 7:38 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Marcio Alexandre Junior: -21Warlley Alves: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcio Alexandre JuniorWarlley Alves
Days Since Last FightN/AN/A
Activity ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Warlley Alves demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Warlley Alves capitalized on this activity level, while Marcio Alexandre Junior's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Marcio Alexandre Junior: -21Warlley Alves: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcio Alexandre JuniorWarlley Alves
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9791 023
ELO Change-21+23
💡

What Happened

Warlley Alves started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marcio Alexandre Junior is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Marcio Alexandre Junior: -21Warlley Alves: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcio Alexandre JuniorWarlley Alves
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.