May 30, 2014
Ultimate Fighter Brazil 3 Middleweight Tournament Title Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marcio Alexandre Junior | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Marcio Alexandre Junior | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marcio Alexandre Junior | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 0:25 | 0:25 |
| Win Type ELO | 958 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +63 |
Warlley Alves earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 0:25, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Marcio Alexandre Junior was submitted.
| Metric | Marcio Alexandre Junior | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 21 | 39 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 22 | 44 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 926 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -74 | +74 |
Warlley Alves controlled the striking exchanges with 44 vs 22 total strikes, 19 vs 8 significant strikes, 48.7% vs 38.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Warlley Alves capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Marcio Alexandre Junior | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:05 | 7:38 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 838 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | -162 | +162 |
Warlley Alves dominated Marcio Alexandre Junior on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 7:38 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Marcio Alexandre Junior | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Warlley Alves demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Warlley Alves capitalized on this activity level, while Marcio Alexandre Junior's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marcio Alexandre Junior | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Warlley Alves started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marcio Alexandre Junior is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marcio Alexandre Junior | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

