October 6, 2017
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marco Beltran | Matt Schnell |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 931 | 988 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +40 |
Matt Schnell overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Marco Beltran.
| Metric | Marco Beltran | Matt Schnell |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 990 | 984 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marco Beltran | Matt Schnell |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 964 | 991 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +51 |
Matt Schnell earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Marco Beltran | Matt Schnell |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 34 | 38 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 109 | 140 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 45 | 38 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 944 | 918 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Matt Schnell slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Matt Schnell capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Marco Beltran | Matt Schnell |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:12 | 0:16 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 965 | 911 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Marco Beltran | Matt Schnell |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 994 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +43 |
Matt Schnell demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Matt Schnell capitalized on this activity level, while Marco Beltran's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marco Beltran | Matt Schnell |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 999 | 989 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +27 |
Matt Schnell started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marco Beltran is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marco Beltran | Matt Schnell |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 989 | 984 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.