Marco Polo Reyes vs Matt Frevola

January 13, 2018

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1100
(+43)
Marco Polo Reyes
Winner: Marco Polo Reyes
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 1:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Marco Polo Reyes+43
Matt Frevola-37
963
(-37)
Matt Frevola

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Marco Polo Reyes: +27Matt Frevola: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricMarco Polo ReyesMatt Frevola
Total UFC Fights51
Experience Gap4-4
Experience ELO1 079973
ELO Change+27-27
💡

What Happened

Marco Polo Reyes's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Marco Polo Reyes for the expected result. Had Matt Frevola pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Marco Polo Reyes: +19Matt Frevola: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricMarco Polo ReyesMatt Frevola
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 057981
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Marco Polo Reyes: +74Matt Frevola: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricMarco Polo ReyesMatt Frevola
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:001:00
Win Type ELO1 196972
ELO Change+74-28
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What Happened

Marco Polo Reyes secured a devastating KO/TKO in 1:00 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Marco Polo Reyes: +120Matt Frevola: -120

Performance Statistics

MetricMarco Polo ReyesMatt Frevola
Significant Strikes Landed189
Significant Strikes Attempted3930
Total Strikes Landed199
Knockdowns Scored20
Striking ELO1 160880
ELO Change+120-120
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What Happened

Marco Polo Reyes dominated the striking exchanges with 18 vs 9 significant strikes, 46.2% vs 30.0% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Marco Polo Reyes capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Marco Polo Reyes: +44Matt Frevola: -44

Performance Statistics

MetricMarco Polo ReyesMatt Frevola
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:00
Ground Strikes Landed10
Ground ELO1 101956
ELO Change+44-44
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Marco Polo Reyes: +22Matt Frevola: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricMarco Polo ReyesMatt Frevola
Days Since Last Fight247N/A
Activity ELO1 080982
ELO Change+22-18
💡

What Happened

Marco Polo Reyes demonstrated standard activity with 247 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Marco Polo Reyes capitalized on this activity level, while Matt Frevola's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Marco Polo Reyes: +20Matt Frevola: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricMarco Polo ReyesMatt Frevola
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 070982
ELO Change+20-18
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What Happened

Marco Polo Reyes started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matt Frevola is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Marco Polo Reyes: +19Matt Frevola: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricMarco Polo ReyesMatt Frevola
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 057981
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.