Marco Tulio vs Roman Kopylov

May 9, 2026

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1036
(-34)
Marco Tulio
Winner: Roman Kopylov
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

C-ELO Evolution

Marco Tulio-34
Roman Kopylov+35
1159
(+35)
Roman Kopylov

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Marco Tulio: -32Roman Kopylov: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricMarco TulioRoman Kopylov
Total UFC Fights412
Experience Gap-88
Experience ELO1 0411 099
ELO Change-32+32
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What Happened

Roman Kopylov's 8-fight experience advantage (12 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Roman Kopylov for the expected result. Had Marco Tulio pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Marco Tulio: -20Roman Kopylov: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricMarco TulioRoman Kopylov
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9981 048
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Marco Tulio: -28Roman Kopylov: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricMarco TulioRoman Kopylov
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1241 301
ELO Change-28+28
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What Happened

Roman Kopylov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Marco Tulio: -83Roman Kopylov: +83

Performance Statistics

MetricMarco TulioRoman Kopylov
Significant Strikes Landed6261
Significant Strikes Attempted160124
Total Strikes Landed8069
Knockdowns Scored03
Striking ELO1 0671 333
ELO Change-83+83
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What Happened

Roman Kopylov dominated the striking exchanges with 49.2% vs 38.8% accuracy, including 3 devastating knockdowns. Roman Kopylov capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Marco Tulio: -53Roman Kopylov: +53

Performance Statistics

MetricMarco TulioRoman Kopylov
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:002:34
Ground Strikes Landed011
Ground ELO1 0081 175
ELO Change-53+53
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What Happened

Roman Kopylov landed 3 knockdowns followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Marco Tulio: -15Roman Kopylov: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricMarco TulioRoman Kopylov
Days Since Last Fight182175
Activity ELO1 0451 192
ELO Change-15+26
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What Happened

Roman Kopylov demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Roman Kopylov capitalized on this activity level, while Marco Tulio's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Marco Tulio: -19Roman Kopylov: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricMarco TulioRoman Kopylov
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0071 079
ELO Change-19+21
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What Happened

Roman Kopylov started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marco Tulio is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Marco Tulio: -20Roman Kopylov: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricMarco TulioRoman Kopylov
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9981 047
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.