May 9, 2026
Middleweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
| Metric | Marco Tulio | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 041 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Roman Kopylov's 8-fight experience advantage (12 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Roman Kopylov for the expected result. Had Marco Tulio pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Marco Tulio | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 998 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marco Tulio | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 124 | 1 301 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Roman Kopylov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Marco Tulio | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 62 | 61 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 160 | 124 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 80 | 69 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 3 |
| Striking ELO | 1 067 | 1 333 |
| ELO Change | -83 | +83 |
Roman Kopylov dominated the striking exchanges with 49.2% vs 38.8% accuracy, including 3 devastating knockdowns. Roman Kopylov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Marco Tulio | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 11 |
| Ground ELO | 1 008 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
Roman Kopylov landed 3 knockdowns followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Marco Tulio | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 175 |
| Activity ELO | 1 045 | 1 192 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +26 |
Roman Kopylov demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Roman Kopylov capitalized on this activity level, while Marco Tulio's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marco Tulio | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 007 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Roman Kopylov started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marco Tulio is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marco Tulio | Roman Kopylov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 998 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

