April 12, 2025
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marco Tulio | Tresean Gore |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 100 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -26 |
Marco Tulio overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tresean Gore.
| Metric | Marco Tulio | Tresean Gore |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 038 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marco Tulio | Tresean Gore |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:16 | 3:16 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 178 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +81 | -39 |
Marco Tulio gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Marco Tulio | Tresean Gore |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 127 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 175 | 60 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 140 | 17 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 213 | 850 |
| ELO Change | +85 | -85 |
Marco Tulio dominated the striking exchanges with 140 vs 17 total strikes, 127 vs 17 significant strikes, 72.6% vs 28.3% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Marco Tulio capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Marco Tulio | Tresean Gore |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:43 | 0:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 098 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -58 |
Marco Tulio landed 2 knockdowns followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Marco Tulio | Tresean Gore |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 91 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 077 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -22 |
Marco Tulio demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Marco Tulio capitalized on this activity level, while Tresean Gore's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marco Tulio | Tresean Gore |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 045 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Marco Tulio extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tresean Gore is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marco Tulio | Tresean Gore |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 038 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.