April 21, 2017
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | Ovince Saint Preux |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 985 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Ovince Saint Preux's 6-fight experience advantage (13 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ovince Saint Preux for the expected result. Had Marcos Rogerio de Lima pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | Ovince Saint Preux |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 015 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | Ovince Saint Preux |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:11 | 2:11 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 175 | 1 345 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +48 |
Ovince Saint Preux earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:11, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Marcos Rogerio de Lima was submitted.
| Metric | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | Ovince Saint Preux |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 45 | 41 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 17 | 30 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 170 | 1 174 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Ovince Saint Preux slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 51.2% vs 37.8% accuracy. Ovince Saint Preux capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | Ovince Saint Preux |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:48 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 940 | 1 173 |
| ELO Change | -147 | +147 |
Ovince Saint Preux dominated Marcos Rogerio de Lima on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:48 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | Ovince Saint Preux |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 84 | 77 |
| Activity ELO | 1 075 | 1 210 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +51 |
Ovince Saint Preux demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 77 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Ovince Saint Preux capitalized on this activity level, while Marcos Rogerio de Lima's 84-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | Ovince Saint Preux |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 026 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Ovince Saint Preux started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marcos Rogerio de Lima is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marcos Rogerio de Lima | Ovince Saint Preux |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 015 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

