Marcos Rogerio de Lima vs Waldo Cortes Acosta

April 28, 2023

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1193
(+17)
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Winner: Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Marcos Rogerio de Lima+17
Waldo Cortes Acosta-17
973
(-17)
Waldo Cortes Acosta

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Marcos Rogerio de Lima: +16Waldo Cortes Acosta: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcos Rogerio de LimaWaldo Cortes Acosta
Total UFC Fights163
Experience Gap13-13
Experience ELO1 177961
ELO Change+16-16
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What Happened

Marcos Rogerio de Lima's 13-fight experience advantage (16 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Marcos Rogerio de Lima for the expected result. Had Waldo Cortes Acosta pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Marcos Rogerio de Lima: +17Waldo Cortes Acosta: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcos Rogerio de LimaWaldo Cortes Acosta
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 077975
ELO Change+17-17
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Marcos Rogerio de Lima: +9Waldo Cortes Acosta: -9

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcos Rogerio de LimaWaldo Cortes Acosta
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 378986
ELO Change+9-9
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What Happened

Marcos Rogerio de Lima earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Marcos Rogerio de Lima: +5Waldo Cortes Acosta: -5

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcos Rogerio de LimaWaldo Cortes Acosta
Significant Strikes Landed5982
Significant Strikes Attempted76150
Total Strikes Landed7688
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 355980
ELO Change+5-5
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What Happened

Waldo Cortes Acosta controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (82 vs 59), superior accuracy (54.7% vs 77.6%). However, since Waldo Cortes Acosta lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Marcos Rogerio de Lima's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Marcos Rogerio de Lima: +43Waldo Cortes Acosta: -43

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcos Rogerio de LimaWaldo Cortes Acosta
Takedowns Landed30
Takedowns Attempted71
Ground Control Time5:010:34
Ground Strikes Landed10
Ground ELO1 203939
ELO Change+43-43
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What Happened

Marcos Rogerio de Lima controlled Waldo Cortes Acosta on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 5:01 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Marcos Rogerio de Lima: +15Waldo Cortes Acosta: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcos Rogerio de LimaWaldo Cortes Acosta
Days Since Last Fight182161
Activity ELO1 175989
ELO Change+15-12
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What Happened

Marcos Rogerio de Lima demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Marcos Rogerio de Lima capitalized on this activity level, while Waldo Cortes Acosta's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Marcos Rogerio de Lima: +19Waldo Cortes Acosta: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcos Rogerio de LimaWaldo Cortes Acosta
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 105977
ELO Change+19-16
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What Happened

Marcos Rogerio de Lima extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Waldo Cortes Acosta is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Marcos Rogerio de Lima: +17Waldo Cortes Acosta: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcos Rogerio de LimaWaldo Cortes Acosta
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 077975
ELO Change+17-17
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.