Marcus Davis vs Melvin Guillard

November 4, 2005

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

970
(-30)
Marcus Davis
Winner: Melvin Guillard
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage
Round 2 • 2:55

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Marcus Davis-30
Melvin Guillard+31
1031
(+31)
Melvin Guillard

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Marcus Davis: -21Melvin Guillard: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcus DavisMelvin Guillard
Total UFC Fights11
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Marcus Davis: -21Melvin Guillard: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcus DavisMelvin Guillard
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Marcus Davis: -25Melvin Guillard: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcus DavisMelvin Guillard
Fight OutcomeTKO - Doctor's StoppageTKO - Doctor's Stoppage
Last Round22
Time of Finish2:552:55
Win Type ELO9751 025
ELO Change-25+25
💡

What Happened

Melvin Guillard gained a finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Marcus Davis: -46Melvin Guillard: +46

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcus DavisMelvin Guillard
Significant Strikes Landed319
Significant Strikes Attempted1639
Total Strikes Landed6721
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9541 046
ELO Change-46+46
💡

What Happened

Marcus Davis controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (67 vs 21 total strikes), significant strike advantage (3 vs 19), superior accuracy (18.8% vs 48.7%). However, since Marcus Davis lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Melvin Guillard's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Marcus Davis: -68Melvin Guillard: +68

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcus DavisMelvin Guillard
Takedowns Landed03
Takedowns Attempted13
Ground Control Time2:193:15
Ground Strikes Landed214
Ground ELO9321 068
ELO Change-68+68
💡

What Happened

Melvin Guillard controlled Marcus Davis on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 3:15 of control time, 14 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Marcus Davis: -21Melvin Guillard: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcus DavisMelvin Guillard
Days Since Last FightN/AN/A
Activity ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Melvin Guillard demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Melvin Guillard capitalized on this activity level, while Marcus Davis's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Marcus Davis: -21Melvin Guillard: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcus DavisMelvin Guillard
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9791 023
ELO Change-21+23
💡

What Happened

Melvin Guillard started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marcus Davis is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Marcus Davis: -21Melvin Guillard: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricMarcus DavisMelvin Guillard
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.