November 4, 2005
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marcus Davis | Melvin Guillard |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Marcus Davis | Melvin Guillard |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marcus Davis | Melvin Guillard |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:55 | 2:55 |
| Win Type ELO | 975 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Melvin Guillard gained a finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Marcus Davis | Melvin Guillard |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 16 | 39 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 67 | 21 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 954 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Marcus Davis controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (67 vs 21 total strikes), significant strike advantage (3 vs 19), superior accuracy (18.8% vs 48.7%). However, since Marcus Davis lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Melvin Guillard's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Marcus Davis | Melvin Guillard |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:19 | 3:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 14 |
| Ground ELO | 932 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -68 | +68 |
Melvin Guillard controlled Marcus Davis on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 3:15 of control time, 14 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Marcus Davis | Melvin Guillard |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Melvin Guillard demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Melvin Guillard capitalized on this activity level, while Marcus Davis's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marcus Davis | Melvin Guillard |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Melvin Guillard started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marcus Davis is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marcus Davis | Melvin Guillard |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

