June 6, 2008
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marcus Davis | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 138 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +34 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (8 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Marcus Davis | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 079 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marcus Davis | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 290 | 1 320 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +50 |
Mike Swick earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Marcus Davis | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 31 | 32 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 55 | 86 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 82 | 71 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 260 | 1 273 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Marcus Davis controlled the striking through superior accuracy (56.4% vs 37.2%). However, since Marcus Davis lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Mike Swick's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Marcus Davis | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:14 | 8:40 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 17 |
| Ground ELO | 1 222 | 1 221 |
| ELO Change | -103 | +103 |
Mike Swick controlled Marcus Davis on the ground with 2 takedowns, 8:40 of control time, 17 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Marcus Davis | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 136 |
| Activity ELO | 1 205 | 1 244 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +46 |
Mike Swick demonstrated solid activity levels with 136 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mike Swick capitalized on this activity level, while Marcus Davis's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marcus Davis | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 134 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +27 |
Mike Swick extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marcus Davis is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marcus Davis | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 079 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.