November 18, 2022
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Maria Oliveira | Vanessa Demopoulos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 975 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Maria Oliveira | Vanessa Demopoulos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Maria Oliveira | Vanessa Demopoulos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 933 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Vanessa Demopoulos earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Maria Oliveira | Vanessa Demopoulos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 83 | 55 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 154 | 80 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 95 | 121 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 936 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +52 |
Maria Oliveira controlled the striking through superior volume (95 vs 121 total strikes), significant strike advantage (83 vs 55), superior accuracy (53.9% vs 68.8%). However, since Maria Oliveira lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Vanessa Demopoulos's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Maria Oliveira | Vanessa Demopoulos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 7:59 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 34 |
| Ground ELO | 854 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -57 | +57 |
Vanessa Demopoulos controlled Maria Oliveira on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 7:59 of control time, 34 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Maria Oliveira | Vanessa Demopoulos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | 148 |
| Activity ELO | 987 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +35 |
Vanessa Demopoulos demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Vanessa Demopoulos capitalized on this activity level, while Maria Oliveira's 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Maria Oliveira | Vanessa Demopoulos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 982 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +25 |
Vanessa Demopoulos extended her 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Maria Oliveira is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Maria Oliveira | Vanessa Demopoulos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.