May 7, 2021
Women's Flyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marina Rodriguez | Michelle Waterson-Gomez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 137 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -33 |
Marina Rodriguez overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Michelle Waterson-Gomez.
| Metric | Marina Rodriguez | Michelle Waterson-Gomez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 069 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marina Rodriguez | Michelle Waterson-Gomez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 233 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Marina Rodriguez earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Marina Rodriguez | Michelle Waterson-Gomez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 125 | 88 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 282 | 205 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 144 | 100 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 216 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Marina Rodriguez controlled the striking exchanges with 144 vs 100 total strikes, 125 vs 88 significant strikes. Marina Rodriguez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Marina Rodriguez | Michelle Waterson-Gomez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:51 | 3:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 137 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Marina Rodriguez did not secure a significant ground advantage against Michelle Waterson-Gomez on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:51 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Marina Rodriguez | Michelle Waterson-Gomez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 238 |
| Activity ELO | 1 159 | 1 133 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -25 |
Marina Rodriguez demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Marina Rodriguez capitalized on this activity level, while Michelle Waterson-Gomez's 238-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marina Rodriguez | Michelle Waterson-Gomez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 087 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -22 |
Marina Rodriguez extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Michelle Waterson-Gomez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marina Rodriguez | Michelle Waterson-Gomez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 069 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.