September 22, 2023
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marina Rodriguez | Michelle Waterson-Gomez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 154 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -22 |
Marina Rodriguez overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (12 vs 14 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Michelle Waterson-Gomez.
| Metric | Marina Rodriguez | Michelle Waterson-Gomez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 081 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marina Rodriguez | Michelle Waterson-Gomez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:42 | 2:42 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 239 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -28 |
Marina Rodriguez gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Marina Rodriguez | Michelle Waterson-Gomez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 70 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 102 | 32 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 90 | 16 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 236 | 954 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -53 |
Marina Rodriguez dominated the striking exchanges with 90 vs 16 total strikes, 70 vs 13 significant strikes, 68.6% vs 40.6% accuracy. Marina Rodriguez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Marina Rodriguez | Michelle Waterson-Gomez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:03 | 2:49 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 136 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Marina Rodriguez edged out Michelle Waterson-Gomez on the ground with 1 takedown, 2:03 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Marina Rodriguez | Michelle Waterson-Gomez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 214 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -15 |
Marina Rodriguez demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Marina Rodriguez capitalized on this activity level, while Michelle Waterson-Gomez's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marina Rodriguez | Michelle Waterson-Gomez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 117 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -16 |
Marina Rodriguez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Michelle Waterson-Gomez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marina Rodriguez | Michelle Waterson-Gomez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 080 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.