March 4, 2022
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marina Rodriguez | Yan Xiaonan |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 203 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (9 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Marina Rodriguez | Yan Xiaonan |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 112 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marina Rodriguez | Yan Xiaonan |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 283 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | +7 | -7 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Marina Rodriguez receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Marina Rodriguez | Yan Xiaonan |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 72 | 56 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 200 | 132 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 79 | 66 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 267 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
Marina Rodriguez controlled the striking exchanges with 72 vs 56 significant strikes. Marina Rodriguez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Marina Rodriguez | Yan Xiaonan |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:41 | 1:33 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 186 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Marina Rodriguez did not secure a significant ground advantage against Yan Xiaonan on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:41 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Marina Rodriguez | Yan Xiaonan |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 288 |
| Activity ELO | 1 236 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -17 |
Marina Rodriguez demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Marina Rodriguez capitalized on this activity level, while Yan Xiaonan's 288-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marina Rodriguez | Yan Xiaonan |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 149 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -23 |
Marina Rodriguez extended her 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Yan Xiaonan is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marina Rodriguez | Yan Xiaonan |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 112 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.