February 7, 2020
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mario Bautista | Miles Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 045 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Mario Bautista | Miles Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 025 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mario Bautista | Miles Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:41 | 1:41 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 105 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +84 | -41 |
Mario Bautista gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Mario Bautista | Miles Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 67 | 44 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 18 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 113 | 949 |
| ELO Change | +106 | -106 |
Mario Bautista controlled the striking exchanges with 18 vs 13 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Mario Bautista capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mario Bautista | Miles Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 019 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -70 |
Mario Bautista landed 1 knockdown followed by 9 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Mario Bautista | Miles Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 204 | 148 |
| Activity ELO | 1 036 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -22 |
Mario Bautista demonstrated standard activity with 204 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Mario Bautista capitalized on this activity level, while Miles Johns's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mario Bautista | Miles Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 032 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -22 |
Mario Bautista extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Miles Johns is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mario Bautista | Miles Johns |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 025 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.