June 7, 2025
Bantamweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mario Bautista | Patchy Mix |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 11 | -11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 289 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
Mario Bautista's 11-fight experience advantage (12 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mario Bautista for the expected result. Had Patchy Mix pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Mario Bautista | Patchy Mix |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 162 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mario Bautista | Patchy Mix |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 363 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
Mario Bautista earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Mario Bautista | Patchy Mix |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 173 | 122 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 302 | 304 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 173 | 122 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 267 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
Mario Bautista dominated the striking exchanges with 173 vs 122 total strikes, 173 vs 122 significant strikes, 57.3% vs 40.1% accuracy. Mario Bautista capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mario Bautista | Patchy Mix |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 395 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +4 | -4 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Mario Bautista | Patchy Mix |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 245 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 281 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -7 |
Mario Bautista demonstrated standard activity with 245 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Mario Bautista capitalized on this activity level, while Patchy Mix's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mario Bautista | Patchy Mix |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 8 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 290 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -8 |
Mario Bautista continued building serious momentum with a 8-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Patchy Mix's now at 0.
| Metric | Mario Bautista | Patchy Mix |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 156 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

