March 5, 2021
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mario Bautista | Trevin Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 009 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +40 |
Trevin Jones overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Mario Bautista.
| Metric | Mario Bautista | Trevin Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 002 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mario Bautista | Trevin Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:47 | 0:47 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 051 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +111 |
Trevin Jones gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Mario Bautista | Trevin Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 42 | 30 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 43 | 36 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 001 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -112 | +112 |
Trevin Jones controlled the striking exchanges with 76.7% vs 50.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Trevin Jones capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mario Bautista | Trevin Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:09 | 1:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 961 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +58 |
Trevin Jones landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Mario Bautista | Trevin Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 392 | 197 |
| Activity ELO | 1 013 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +29 |
Trevin Jones demonstrated standard activity with 197 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Trevin Jones capitalized on this activity level, while Mario Bautista's 392-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mario Bautista | Trevin Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 009 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Trevin Jones started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mario Bautista is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mario Bautista | Trevin Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.