Mario Bautista vs Umar Nurmagomedov

October 25, 2025

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1236
(-39)
Mario Bautista
Winner: Umar Nurmagomedov
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

C-ELO Evolution

Mario Bautista-39
Umar Nurmagomedov+41
1293
(+41)
Umar Nurmagomedov

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Mario Bautista: -37Umar Nurmagomedov: +49

Performance Statistics

MetricMario BautistaUmar Nurmagomedov
Total UFC Fights138
Experience Gap5-5
Experience ELO1 2521 279
ELO Change-37+49
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What Happened

Umar Nurmagomedov overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Mario Bautista.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Mario Bautista: -24Umar Nurmagomedov: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricMario BautistaUmar Nurmagomedov
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1381 140
ELO Change-24+24
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Mario Bautista: -44Umar Nurmagomedov: +44

Performance Statistics

MetricMario BautistaUmar Nurmagomedov
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 3191 394
ELO Change-44+44
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What Happened

Umar Nurmagomedov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Mario Bautista: -23Umar Nurmagomedov: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricMario BautistaUmar Nurmagomedov
Significant Strikes Landed2032
Significant Strikes Attempted5454
Total Strikes Landed3381
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 2441 443
ELO Change-23+23
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What Happened

Umar Nurmagomedov controlled the striking exchanges with 81 vs 33 total strikes, 32 vs 20 significant strikes, 59.3% vs 37.0% accuracy. Umar Nurmagomedov capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Mario Bautista: -108Umar Nurmagomedov: +108

Performance Statistics

MetricMario BautistaUmar Nurmagomedov
Takedowns Landed011
Takedowns Attempted114
Ground Control Time0:0410:46
Ground Strikes Landed17
Ground ELO1 2871 511
ELO Change-108+108
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What Happened

Umar Nurmagomedov dominated Mario Bautista on the ground with 11 vs 0 takedowns, 10:46 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Mario Bautista: -26Umar Nurmagomedov: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricMario BautistaUmar Nurmagomedov
Days Since Last Fight140280
Activity ELO1 2551 215
ELO Change-26+26
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What Happened

Umar Nurmagomedov demonstrated standard activity with 280 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Umar Nurmagomedov capitalized on this activity level, while Mario Bautista's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Mario Bautista: -26Umar Nurmagomedov: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricMario BautistaUmar Nurmagomedov
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 2641 227
ELO Change-26+29
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What Happened

Umar Nurmagomedov started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mario Bautista is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Mario Bautista: -24Umar Nurmagomedov: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricMario BautistaUmar Nurmagomedov
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1321 137
ELO Change-24+24
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.