February 7, 2026
Bantamweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
| Metric | Mario Bautista | Vinicius Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 279 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Mario Bautista's 9-fight experience advantage (14 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mario Bautista for the expected result. Had Vinicius Oliveira pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Mario Bautista | Vinicius Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 156 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mario Bautista | Vinicius Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:46 | 4:46 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 372 | 1 220 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -34 |
Mario Bautista earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:46, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Vinicius Oliveira was submitted.
| Metric | Mario Bautista | Vinicius Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 27 | 21 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 49 | 18 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 283 | 1 217 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Mario Bautista controlled the striking exchanges with 49 vs 18 total strikes. Mario Bautista capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mario Bautista | Vinicius Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:47 | 1:39 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 466 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | +179 | -179 |
Mario Bautista dominated Vinicius Oliveira on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 5:47 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Mario Bautista | Vinicius Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 203 |
| Activity ELO | 1 295 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -16 |
Mario Bautista demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mario Bautista capitalized on this activity level, while Vinicius Oliveira's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mario Bautista | Vinicius Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 278 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -13 |
Mario Bautista started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Vinicius Oliveira is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mario Bautista | Vinicius Oliveira |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 151 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

