July 16, 2021
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Miesha Tate |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 956 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +29 |
Miesha Tate overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 13 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Marion Reneau.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Miesha Tate |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 961 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Miesha Tate |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:53 | 1:53 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 006 | 1 168 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +70 |
Miesha Tate gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Miesha Tate |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 65 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 64 | 120 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 48 | 110 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 922 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -73 | +73 |
Miesha Tate dominated the striking exchanges with 110 vs 48 total strikes, 65 vs 25 significant strikes, 54.2% vs 39.1% accuracy. Miesha Tate capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Miesha Tate |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 5:52 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 25 |
| Ground ELO | 861 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Miesha Tate controlled Marion Reneau on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 5:52 of control time, 25 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Miesha Tate |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 1 708 |
| Activity ELO | 1 046 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +17 |
Miesha Tate demonstrated extended layoff with 1708 days since her last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Miesha Tate capitalized on this activity level, while Marion Reneau's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Miesha Tate |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 972 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +18 |
Miesha Tate started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marion Reneau is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Miesha Tate |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 957 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.