November 18, 2016
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Milana Dudieva |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 058 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Marion Reneau's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Marion Reneau for the expected result. Had Milana Dudieva pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Milana Dudieva |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 018 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Milana Dudieva |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:03 | 3:03 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 122 | 945 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -33 |
Marion Reneau gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Milana Dudieva |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 48 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 136 | 47 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 72 | 36 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 053 | 861 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Marion Reneau controlled the striking exchanges with 72 vs 36 total strikes, 48 vs 17 significant strikes. Marion Reneau capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Milana Dudieva |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:21 | 2:29 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 10 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 031 | 911 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -65 |
Marion Reneau controlled Milana Dudieva on the ground with 1 takedown, 4:21 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Milana Dudieva |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 272 | 596 |
| Activity ELO | 1 106 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Marion Reneau demonstrated standard activity with 272 days since her last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Marion Reneau capitalized on this activity level, while Milana Dudieva's 596-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Milana Dudieva |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 026 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Marion Reneau started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Milana Dudieva is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Milana Dudieva |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 018 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.