June 19, 2020
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 007 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Raquel Pennington's 2-fight experience advantage (13 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Raquel Pennington for the expected result. Had Marion Reneau pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 994 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 074 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Raquel Pennington earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 46 | 107 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 117 | 154 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 81 | 118 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 016 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Raquel Pennington controlled the striking exchanges with 118 vs 81 total strikes, 107 vs 46 significant strikes, 69.5% vs 39.3% accuracy. Raquel Pennington capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:48 | 5:29 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 936 | 1 193 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Raquel Pennington controlled Marion Reneau on the ground with 1 takedown, 5:29 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 469 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 1 084 | 1 156 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +35 |
Raquel Pennington demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Raquel Pennington capitalized on this activity level, while Marion Reneau's 469-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 006 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +20 |
Raquel Pennington started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marion Reneau is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Raquel Pennington |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 992 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

