Marion Reneau vs Raquel Pennington

June 19, 2020

Women's Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1014
(-26)
Marion Reneau
Winner: Raquel Pennington
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Marion Reneau-26
Raquel Pennington+29
1113
(+29)
Raquel Pennington

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Marion Reneau: -31Raquel Pennington: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricMarion ReneauRaquel Pennington
Total UFC Fights1113
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 0071 075
ELO Change-31+31
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What Happened

Raquel Pennington's 2-fight experience advantage (13 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Raquel Pennington for the expected result. Had Marion Reneau pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Marion Reneau: -18Raquel Pennington: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricMarion ReneauRaquel Pennington
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9941 072
ELO Change-18+18
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Marion Reneau: -42Raquel Pennington: +42

Performance Statistics

MetricMarion ReneauRaquel Pennington
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 0741 159
ELO Change-42+42
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What Happened

Raquel Pennington earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Marion Reneau: -36Raquel Pennington: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricMarion ReneauRaquel Pennington
Significant Strikes Landed46107
Significant Strikes Attempted117154
Total Strikes Landed81118
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0161 100
ELO Change-36+36
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What Happened

Raquel Pennington controlled the striking exchanges with 118 vs 81 total strikes, 107 vs 46 significant strikes, 69.5% vs 39.3% accuracy. Raquel Pennington capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Marion Reneau: -30Raquel Pennington: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricMarion ReneauRaquel Pennington
Takedowns Landed21
Takedowns Attempted42
Ground Control Time3:485:29
Ground Strikes Landed04
Ground ELO9361 193
ELO Change-30+30
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What Happened

Raquel Pennington controlled Marion Reneau on the ground with 1 takedown, 5:29 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Marion Reneau: -20Raquel Pennington: +35

Performance Statistics

MetricMarion ReneauRaquel Pennington
Days Since Last Fight469154
Activity ELO1 0841 156
ELO Change-20+35
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What Happened

Raquel Pennington demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Raquel Pennington capitalized on this activity level, while Marion Reneau's 469-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Marion Reneau: -18Raquel Pennington: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricMarion ReneauRaquel Pennington
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0061 087
ELO Change-18+20
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What Happened

Raquel Pennington started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marion Reneau is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Marion Reneau: -19Raquel Pennington: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricMarion ReneauRaquel Pennington
Weight ClassWomen's BantamweightWomen's Bantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9921 058
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.