February 23, 2018
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 116 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -28 |
Marion Reneau overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Sara McMann.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 059 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:40 | 3:40 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 232 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -36 |
Marion Reneau earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:40, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Sara McMann was submitted.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 39 | 49 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 37 | 76 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 151 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Sara McMann controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (76 vs 37 total strikes), significant strike advantage (9 vs 23), superior accuracy (18.4% vs 59.0%). However, since Sara McMann lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Marion Reneau's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:07 | 5:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 131 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -67 |
Marion Reneau controlled Sara McMann on the ground with 0 takedowns, 11 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | 169 |
| Activity ELO | 1 162 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -18 |
Marion Reneau demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Marion Reneau capitalized on this activity level, while Sara McMann's 169-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 073 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -20 |
Marion Reneau extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sara McMann is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Sara McMann |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 059 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.