September 1, 2017
Women's Bantamweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Talita Bernardo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 085 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Marion Reneau's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Marion Reneau for the expected result. Had Talita Bernardo pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Talita Bernardo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 039 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Talita Bernardo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:54 | 4:54 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 177 | 972 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -28 |
Marion Reneau gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Talita Bernardo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 57 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 127 | 88 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 118 | 38 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 123 | 931 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -69 |
Marion Reneau dominated the striking exchanges with 118 vs 38 total strikes, 57 vs 22 significant strikes, 44.9% vs 25.0% accuracy. Marion Reneau capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Talita Bernardo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:28 | 6:25 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 23 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 064 | 976 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Marion Reneau did not secure a significant ground advantage against Talita Bernardo on the ground with 0 takedowns, 3:28 of control time, 23 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Talita Bernardo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 131 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -15 |
Marion Reneau demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Marion Reneau capitalized on this activity level, while Talita Bernardo's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Talita Bernardo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 048 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Marion Reneau started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Talita Bernardo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marion Reneau | Talita Bernardo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 039 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.