December 9, 2011
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mark Bocek | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 034 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Mark Bocek's 2-fight experience advantage (10 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mark Bocek for the expected result. Had Nik Lentz pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Mark Bocek | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 047 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mark Bocek | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 185 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Mark Bocek earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Mark Bocek | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 46 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 85 | 31 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 102 | 123 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 100 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -54 |
Mark Bocek controlled the striking exchanges with 102 vs 123 total strikes, 46 vs 10 significant strikes, 54.1% vs 32.3% accuracy. Mark Bocek capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mark Bocek | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 11:41 | 0:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 27 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 367 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | +143 | -143 |
Mark Bocek dominated Nik Lentz on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 11:41 of control time, 27 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Mark Bocek | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 225 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 111 | 1 192 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -29 |
Mark Bocek demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Mark Bocek capitalized on this activity level, while Nik Lentz's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mark Bocek | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 066 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -26 |
Mark Bocek started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nik Lentz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mark Bocek | Nik Lentz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 047 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.