November 16, 2012
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mark Bocek | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 029 | 1 133 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (12 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Mark Bocek | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mark Bocek | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 172 | 1 341 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Rafael Dos Anjos earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Mark Bocek | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 19 | 54 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 59 | 134 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 33 | 90 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 081 | 1 249 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Rafael Dos Anjos dominated the striking exchanges with 90 vs 33 total strikes, 54 vs 19 significant strikes, 40.3% vs 32.2% accuracy. Rafael Dos Anjos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mark Bocek | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:42 | 4:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 1 271 | 1 350 |
| ELO Change | -109 | +109 |
Rafael Dos Anjos controlled Mark Bocek on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 4:09 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Mark Bocek | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 211 | 130 |
| Activity ELO | 1 121 | 1 268 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +30 |
Rafael Dos Anjos demonstrated solid activity levels with 130 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rafael Dos Anjos capitalized on this activity level, while Mark Bocek's 211-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mark Bocek | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 062 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +27 |
Rafael Dos Anjos extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mark Bocek is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mark Bocek | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

