July 10, 2009
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mark Coleman | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (11 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Mark Coleman | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 114 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mark Coleman | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 257 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Mark Coleman earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Mark Coleman | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 36 | 60 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 59 | 68 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 006 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Stephan Bonnar controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (26 vs 20), superior accuracy (43.3% vs 55.6%). However, since Stephan Bonnar lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Mark Coleman's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Mark Coleman | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:49 | 2:41 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 16 | 20 |
| Ground ELO | 1 301 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Mark Coleman controlled Stephan Bonnar on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 9:49 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Mark Coleman | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 562 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | +5 | -3 |
Mark Coleman demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mark Coleman capitalized on this activity level, while Stephan Bonnar's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mark Coleman | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 097 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Mark Coleman started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Stephan Bonnar is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mark Coleman | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.