February 14, 2020
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mark De La Rosa | Raulian Paiva |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 947 | 999 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +40 |
Raulian Paiva overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Mark De La Rosa.
| Metric | Mark De La Rosa | Raulian Paiva |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 958 | 983 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mark De La Rosa | Raulian Paiva |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:42 | 4:42 |
| Win Type ELO | 928 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +88 |
Raulian Paiva gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Mark De La Rosa | Raulian Paiva |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 45 | 54 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 124 | 126 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 45 | 67 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 830 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | -81 | +81 |
Raulian Paiva controlled the striking exchanges with 67 vs 45 total strikes, 54 vs 45 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Raulian Paiva capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mark De La Rosa | Raulian Paiva |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:48 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 902 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Raulian Paiva landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Mark De La Rosa | Raulian Paiva |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 169 | 190 |
| Activity ELO | 986 | 991 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +30 |
Raulian Paiva demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Raulian Paiva capitalized on this activity level, while Mark De La Rosa's 169-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mark De La Rosa | Raulian Paiva |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 964 | 987 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Raulian Paiva started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mark De La Rosa is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mark De La Rosa | Raulian Paiva |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 958 | 983 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.