December 29, 2017
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mark De La Rosa | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 966 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Tim Elliott's 9-fight experience advantage (10 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tim Elliott for the expected result. Had Mark De La Rosa pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Mark De La Rosa | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 977 | 992 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mark De La Rosa | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:41 | 1:41 |
| Win Type ELO | 957 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +66 |
Tim Elliott earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:41, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Mark De La Rosa was submitted.
| Metric | Mark De La Rosa | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 4 | 24 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 54 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 924 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -76 | +76 |
Tim Elliott dominated the striking exchanges with 54 vs 4 total strikes, 12 vs 2 significant strikes. Tim Elliott capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mark De La Rosa | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:31 | 5:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 11 |
| Ground ELO | 867 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | -133 | +133 |
Tim Elliott dominated Mark De La Rosa on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 5:34 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Mark De La Rosa | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 204 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Tim Elliott demonstrated standard activity with 204 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Tim Elliott capitalized on this activity level, while Mark De La Rosa's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mark De La Rosa | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +25 |
Tim Elliott started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mark De La Rosa is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mark De La Rosa | Tim Elliott |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 977 | 987 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.