September 7, 1995
Open Weight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mark Hall | Paul Varelans |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 024 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Paul Varelans's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Paul Varelans for the expected result. Had Mark Hall pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Mark Hall | Paul Varelans |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mark Hall | Paul Varelans |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:01 | 1:01 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 078 | 1 218 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +73 |
Paul Varelans earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:01, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Mark Hall | Paul Varelans |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 3 | 3 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 4 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 052 | 1 161 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Paul Varelans slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Paul Varelans capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mark Hall | Paul Varelans |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 926 | 1 156 |
| ELO Change | -124 | +124 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Mark Hall | Paul Varelans |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 1 | 1 |
| Activity ELO | 1 005 | 1 265 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +160 |
Paul Varelans demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within 1 day since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Paul Varelans capitalized on this activity level, while Mark Hall's 1-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mark Hall | Paul Varelans |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Paul Varelans extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mark Hall is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mark Hall | Paul Varelans |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

