Mark Hall vs Paul Varelans

September 7, 1995

Open Weight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1011
(-36)
Mark Hall
Winner: Paul Varelans
Submission
Round 1 • 1:01

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Mark Hall-36
Paul Varelans+59
1125
(+59)
Paul Varelans

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Mark Hall: -34Paul Varelans: +34

Performance Statistics

MetricMark HallPaul Varelans
Total UFC Fights24
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 0241 066
ELO Change-34+34
💡

What Happened

Paul Varelans's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Paul Varelans for the expected result. Had Mark Hall pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Mark Hall: -21Paul Varelans: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricMark HallPaul Varelans
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0001 042
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Mark Hall: -39Paul Varelans: +73

Performance Statistics

MetricMark HallPaul Varelans
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:011:01
Win Type ELO1 0781 218
ELO Change-39+73
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What Happened

Paul Varelans earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:01, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Mark Hall: -16Paul Varelans: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricMark HallPaul Varelans
Significant Strikes Landed22
Significant Strikes Attempted33
Total Strikes Landed44
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0521 161
ELO Change-16+16
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What Happened

Paul Varelans slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Paul Varelans capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Mark Hall: -124Paul Varelans: +124

Performance Statistics

MetricMark HallPaul Varelans
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time----
Ground Strikes Landed02
Ground ELO9261 156
ELO Change-124+124
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Mark Hall: -16Paul Varelans: +160

Performance Statistics

MetricMark HallPaul Varelans
Days Since Last Fight11
Activity ELO1 0051 265
ELO Change-16+160
💡

What Happened

Paul Varelans demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within 1 day since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Paul Varelans capitalized on this activity level, while Mark Hall's 1-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Mark Hall: -21Paul Varelans: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricMark HallPaul Varelans
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0021 050
ELO Change-21+25
💡

What Happened

Paul Varelans extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mark Hall is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Mark Hall: -21Paul Varelans: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricMark HallPaul Varelans
Weight ClassN/AN/A
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0001 042
ELO Change-21+21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.