October 15, 2010
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mark Holst | Paul Sass |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 907 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +59 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Mark Holst | Paul Sass |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 958 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mark Holst | Paul Sass |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:45 | 4:45 |
| Win Type ELO | 916 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +60 |
Paul Sass earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:45, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Mark Holst | Paul Sass |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 10 | 4 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 7 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 862 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Paul Sass slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 50.0% vs 30.0% accuracy. Paul Sass capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mark Holst | Paul Sass |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:18 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 837 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Paul Sass edged out Mark Holst on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Mark Holst | Paul Sass |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 958 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Paul Sass demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Paul Sass capitalized on this activity level, while Mark Holst's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mark Holst | Paul Sass |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 958 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Paul Sass started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mark Holst is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mark Holst | Paul Sass |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 958 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

