Mark Munoz vs Matt Hamill

March 6, 2009

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

977
(-23)
Mark Munoz
Winner: Matt Hamill
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 3:53

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Mark Munoz-23
Matt Hamill+29
1162
(+29)
Matt Hamill

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Mark Munoz: -23Matt Hamill: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricMark MunozMatt Hamill
Total UFC Fights18
Experience Gap-77
Experience ELO9771 118
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

Matt Hamill's 7-fight experience advantage (8 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Matt Hamill for the expected result. Had Mark Munoz pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Mark Munoz: -17Matt Hamill: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricMark MunozMatt Hamill
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9831 081
ELO Change-17+17
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Mark Munoz: -16Matt Hamill: +34

Performance Statistics

MetricMark MunozMatt Hamill
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish3:533:53
Win Type ELO9841 287
ELO Change-16+34
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What Happened

Matt Hamill earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:53, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Mark Munoz: -57Matt Hamill: +57

Performance Statistics

MetricMark MunozMatt Hamill
Significant Strikes Landed1423
Significant Strikes Attempted3747
Total Strikes Landed1440
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9431 227
ELO Change-57+57
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What Happened

Matt Hamill controlled the striking exchanges with 40 vs 14 total strikes, 23 vs 14 significant strikes, 48.9% vs 37.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Matt Hamill capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Mark Munoz: -24Matt Hamill: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricMark MunozMatt Hamill
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted40
Ground Control Time0:010:19
Ground Strikes Landed01
Ground ELO9761 238
ELO Change-24+24
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What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Mark Munoz: -13Matt Hamill: +40

Performance Statistics

MetricMark MunozMatt Hamill
Days Since Last FightN/A70
Activity ELO9871 171
ELO Change-13+40
💡

What Happened

Matt Hamill demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 70 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Matt Hamill capitalized on this activity level, while Mark Munoz's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Mark Munoz: -16Matt Hamill: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricMark MunozMatt Hamill
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9841 096
ELO Change-16+20
💡

What Happened

Matt Hamill extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mark Munoz is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Mark Munoz: -17Matt Hamill: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricMark MunozMatt Hamill
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9831 077
ELO Change-17+17
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.