August 28, 2009
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mark Munoz | Nick Catone |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 012 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Mark Munoz | Nick Catone |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 005 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mark Munoz | Nick Catone |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 996 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Mark Munoz receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Mark Munoz | Nick Catone |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 53 | 38 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 102 | 82 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 75 | 55 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 984 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Mark Munoz controlled the striking exchanges with 75 vs 55 total strikes, 53 vs 38 significant strikes. Mark Munoz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mark Munoz | Nick Catone |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 12 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:08 | 3:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 13 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 1 026 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Mark Munoz edged out Nick Catone on the ground with 2 takedowns, 4:08 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Mark Munoz | Nick Catone |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 150 |
| Activity ELO | 1 025 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -22 |
Mark Munoz demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mark Munoz capitalized on this activity level, while Nick Catone's 150-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mark Munoz | Nick Catone |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 008 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Mark Munoz started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nick Catone is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mark Munoz | Nick Catone |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 005 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

