January 1, 2010
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mark Munoz | Ryan Jensen |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 039 | 906 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -24 |
Mark Munoz overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Ryan Jensen.
| Metric | Mark Munoz | Ryan Jensen |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 024 | 949 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mark Munoz | Ryan Jensen |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:30 | 2:30 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 092 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +96 | -42 |
Mark Munoz earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:30, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Mark Munoz | Ryan Jensen |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 28 | 16 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 22 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 054 | 907 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -70 |
Mark Munoz slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 16 vs 9 significant strikes. Mark Munoz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mark Munoz | Ryan Jensen |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:23 | 0:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 16 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 090 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +64 | -64 |
Mark Munoz controlled Ryan Jensen on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:23 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Mark Munoz | Ryan Jensen |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 127 | 109 |
| Activity ELO | 1 061 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -18 |
Mark Munoz demonstrated solid activity levels with 127 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mark Munoz capitalized on this activity level, while Ryan Jensen's 109-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mark Munoz | Ryan Jensen |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 031 | 954 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Mark Munoz extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ryan Jensen is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mark Munoz | Ryan Jensen |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 024 | 949 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.