July 31, 2010
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mark Munoz | Yushin Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 065 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Yushin Okami's 6-fight experience advantage (11 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Yushin Okami for the expected result. Had Mark Munoz pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Mark Munoz | Yushin Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 030 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mark Munoz | Yushin Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 195 | 1 342 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +7 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Yushin Okami receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Mark Munoz | Yushin Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 44 | 83 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 19 | 101 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 073 | 1 345 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Yushin Okami dominated the striking exchanges with 101 vs 19 total strikes, 22 vs 16 significant strikes, 26.5% vs 36.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Yushin Okami capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Mark Munoz | Yushin Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 15 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:28 | 5:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 099 | 1 316 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Yushin Okami landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Mark Munoz | Yushin Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 113 | 123 |
| Activity ELO | 1 113 | 1 303 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +25 |
Yushin Okami demonstrated solid activity levels with 123 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Yushin Okami capitalized on this activity level, while Mark Munoz's 113-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mark Munoz | Yushin Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 045 | 1 166 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +19 |
Yushin Okami extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mark Munoz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mark Munoz | Yushin Okami |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 030 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

