November 21, 2002
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Mark Weir | Phillip Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 047 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +36 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Mark Weir | Phillip Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Mark Weir | Phillip Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:50 | 4:50 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 125 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +90 |
Phillip Miller earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:50, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Mark Weir was submitted.
| Metric | Mark Weir | Phillip Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 19 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 31 | 21 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 39 | 20 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 140 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Mark Weir controlled the striking through superior volume (39 vs 20 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (19 vs 10), superior accuracy (61.3% vs 47.6%), 1 knockdown. However, since Mark Weir lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Phillip Miller's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Mark Weir | Phillip Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:43 | 6:33 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 16 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 956 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -75 | +75 |
Phillip Miller controlled Mark Weir on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 6:33 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Mark Weir | Phillip Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 003 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +42 |
Phillip Miller demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Phillip Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Mark Weir's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Mark Weir | Phillip Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Phillip Miller extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mark Weir is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Mark Weir | Phillip Miller |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.