September 24, 2021
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marlon Moraes | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 157 | 1 192 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +37 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (10 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Marlon Moraes | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 050 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marlon Moraes | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:25 | 4:25 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 232 | 1 321 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +101 |
Merab Dvalishvili gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Marlon Moraes | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 69 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 44 | 109 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 34 | 246 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 109 | 1 319 |
| ELO Change | -76 | +76 |
Merab Dvalishvili dominated the striking exchanges with 246 vs 34 total strikes, 69 vs 29 significant strikes. Merab Dvalishvili capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Marlon Moraes | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:30 | 6:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 57 |
| Ground ELO | 1 195 | 1 396 |
| ELO Change | -72 | +72 |
Merab Dvalishvili dominated Marlon Moraes on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 6:00 of control time, 57 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Marlon Moraes | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 280 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 232 | 1 247 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +49 |
Merab Dvalishvili demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Merab Dvalishvili capitalized on this activity level, while Marlon Moraes's 280-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marlon Moraes | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 7 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 085 | 1 210 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +51 |
Merab Dvalishvili continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Marlon Moraes's now at 0.
| Metric | Marlon Moraes | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 038 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

