Marlon Moraes vs Merab Dvalishvili

September 24, 2021

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1137
(-40)
Marlon Moraes
Winner: Merab Dvalishvili
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 4:25

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Marlon Moraes-40
Merab Dvalishvili+53
1238
(+53)
Merab Dvalishvili

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Marlon Moraes: -35Merab Dvalishvili: +37

Performance Statistics

MetricMarlon MoraesMerab Dvalishvili
Total UFC Fights109
Experience Gap1-1
Experience ELO1 1571 192
ELO Change-35+37
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (10 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Marlon Moraes: -20Merab Dvalishvili: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricMarlon MoraesMerab Dvalishvili
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0501 111
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Marlon Moraes: -49Merab Dvalishvili: +101

Performance Statistics

MetricMarlon MoraesMerab Dvalishvili
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish4:254:25
Win Type ELO1 2321 321
ELO Change-49+101
💡

What Happened

Merab Dvalishvili gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Marlon Moraes: -76Merab Dvalishvili: +76

Performance Statistics

MetricMarlon MoraesMerab Dvalishvili
Significant Strikes Landed2969
Significant Strikes Attempted44109
Total Strikes Landed34246
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 1091 319
ELO Change-76+76
💡

What Happened

Merab Dvalishvili dominated the striking exchanges with 246 vs 34 total strikes, 69 vs 29 significant strikes. Merab Dvalishvili capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Marlon Moraes: -72Merab Dvalishvili: +72

Performance Statistics

MetricMarlon MoraesMerab Dvalishvili
Takedowns Landed04
Takedowns Attempted04
Ground Control Time0:306:00
Ground Strikes Landed757
Ground ELO1 1951 396
ELO Change-72+72
💡

What Happened

Merab Dvalishvili dominated Marlon Moraes on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 6:00 of control time, 57 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Marlon Moraes: -25Merab Dvalishvili: +49

Performance Statistics

MetricMarlon MoraesMerab Dvalishvili
Days Since Last Fight280147
Activity ELO1 2321 247
ELO Change-25+49
💡

What Happened

Merab Dvalishvili demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Merab Dvalishvili capitalized on this activity level, while Marlon Moraes's 280-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Marlon Moraes: -18Merab Dvalishvili: +51

Performance Statistics

MetricMarlon MoraesMerab Dvalishvili
Win Streak07
Win Streak ELO1 0851 210
ELO Change-18+51
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What Happened

Merab Dvalishvili continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Marlon Moraes's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Marlon Moraes: -19Merab Dvalishvili: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricMarlon MoraesMerab Dvalishvili
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0381 109
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.