December 18, 2020
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marlon Moraes | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 192 | 1 218 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Rob Font's 2-fight experience advantage (11 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rob Font for the expected result. Had Marlon Moraes pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Marlon Moraes | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 070 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marlon Moraes | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:47 | 3:47 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 281 | 1 401 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +95 |
Rob Font earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:47, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Marlon Moraes | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 30 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 12 | 37 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 12 | 33 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 185 | 1 410 |
| ELO Change | -117 | +117 |
Rob Font controlled the striking exchanges with 33 vs 12 total strikes, 30 vs 9 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Rob Font capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Marlon Moraes | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:31 | 0:38 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 16 |
| Ground ELO | 1 267 | 1 264 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Rob Font did not secure a significant ground advantage against Marlon Moraes on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:38 of control time, 16 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Marlon Moraes | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 71 | 378 |
| Activity ELO | 1 257 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +24 |
Rob Font demonstrated extended layoff with 378 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Rob Font capitalized on this activity level, while Marlon Moraes's 71-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marlon Moraes | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 103 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +28 |
Rob Font extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marlon Moraes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marlon Moraes | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 057 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.