March 11, 2022
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marlon Moraes | Song Yadong |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 130 | 1 235 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (11 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Marlon Moraes | Song Yadong |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 033 | 1 133 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marlon Moraes | Song Yadong |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:06 | 2:06 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 202 | 1 402 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +67 |
Song Yadong earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:06, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Marlon Moraes | Song Yadong |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 25 | 35 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 9 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 070 | 1 386 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Song Yadong controlled the striking exchanges with 14 vs 9 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Song Yadong capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Marlon Moraes | Song Yadong |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 174 | 1 218 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Marlon Moraes | Song Yadong |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 169 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 1 210 | 1 274 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +54 |
Song Yadong demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Song Yadong capitalized on this activity level, while Marlon Moraes's 169-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marlon Moraes | Song Yadong |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 068 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +23 |
Song Yadong extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marlon Moraes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marlon Moraes | Song Yadong |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.