Marlon Vera vs Nohelin Hernandez

July 5, 2019

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1158
(+22)
Marlon Vera
Winner: Marlon Vera
Submission
Round 2 • 3:25

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Marlon Vera+22
Nohelin Hernandez-18
982
(-18)
Nohelin Hernandez

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Marlon Vera: +21Nohelin Hernandez: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricMarlon VeraNohelin Hernandez
Total UFC Fights121
Experience Gap11-11
Experience ELO1 136979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

Marlon Vera's 11-fight experience advantage (12 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Marlon Vera for the expected result. Had Nohelin Hernandez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Marlon Vera: +17Nohelin Hernandez: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricMarlon VeraNohelin Hernandez
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 079983
ELO Change+17-17
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Marlon Vera: +23Nohelin Hernandez: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricMarlon VeraNohelin Hernandez
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish3:253:25
Win Type ELO1 287985
ELO Change+23-15
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What Happened

Marlon Vera earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:25, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Nohelin Hernandez was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Marlon Vera: +9Nohelin Hernandez: -9

Performance Statistics

MetricMarlon VeraNohelin Hernandez
Significant Strikes Landed1022
Significant Strikes Attempted2746
Total Strikes Landed2628
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 231991
ELO Change+9-9
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What Happened

Nohelin Hernandez controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (22 vs 10), superior accuracy (47.8% vs 37.0%). However, since Nohelin Hernandez lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Marlon Vera's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Marlon Vera: +38Nohelin Hernandez: -38

Performance Statistics

MetricMarlon VeraNohelin Hernandez
Takedowns Landed11
Takedowns Attempted12
Ground Control Time2:232:56
Ground Strikes Landed313
Ground ELO1 149962
ELO Change+38-38
💡

What Happened

Marlon Vera controlled Nohelin Hernandez on the ground with 1 takedown, 2:23 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Marlon Vera: +29Nohelin Hernandez: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricMarlon VeraNohelin Hernandez
Days Since Last Fight105N/A
Activity ELO1 193988
ELO Change+29-12
💡

What Happened

Marlon Vera demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Marlon Vera capitalized on this activity level, while Nohelin Hernandez's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Marlon Vera: +22Nohelin Hernandez: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricMarlon VeraNohelin Hernandez
Win Streak40
Win Streak ELO1 111984
ELO Change+22-16
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What Happened

Marlon Vera extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nohelin Hernandez is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Marlon Vera: +17Nohelin Hernandez: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricMarlon VeraNohelin Hernandez
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 079983
ELO Change+17-17
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.