April 29, 2022
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marlon Vera | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 19 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 266 | 1 190 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Marlon Vera's 5-fight experience advantage (19 vs 14 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Marlon Vera for the expected result. Had Rob Font pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Marlon Vera | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 149 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marlon Vera | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 488 | 1 369 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Marlon Vera earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Marlon Vera | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 159 | 271 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 283 | 516 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 167 | 273 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 3 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 489 | 1 240 |
| ELO Change | +99 | -99 |
Rob Font controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (273 vs 167 total strikes), significant strike advantage (271 vs 159). However, since Rob Font lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Marlon Vera's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Marlon Vera | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:05 | 0:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 22 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 306 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -57 |
Marlon Vera controlled Rob Font on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:05 of control time, 22 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Marlon Vera | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 321 | 1 205 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -17 |
Marlon Vera demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Marlon Vera capitalized on this activity level, while Rob Font's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marlon Vera | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 198 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -20 |
Marlon Vera extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rob Font is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marlon Vera | Rob Font |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 138 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.