August 7, 2015
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marlon Vera | Roman Salazar |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 012 | 944 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Marlon Vera | Roman Salazar |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marlon Vera | Roman Salazar |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:15 | 2:15 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 026 | 932 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -44 |
Marlon Vera earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:15, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Roman Salazar was submitted.
| Metric | Marlon Vera | Roman Salazar |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 48 | 29 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 26 | 67 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 994 | 948 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Roman Salazar controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (67 vs 26 total strikes), significant strike advantage (14 vs 25). However, since Roman Salazar lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Marlon Vera's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Marlon Vera | Roman Salazar |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:06 | 5:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 12 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 014 | 899 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Marlon Vera edged out Roman Salazar on the ground with 0 takedowns, 12 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Marlon Vera | Roman Salazar |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 266 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 006 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -21 |
Marlon Vera demonstrated standard activity with 266 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Marlon Vera capitalized on this activity level, while Roman Salazar's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marlon Vera | Roman Salazar |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Marlon Vera started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Roman Salazar is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marlon Vera | Roman Salazar |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.