August 14, 2020
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Marlon Vera | Sean O'Malley |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 167 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Marlon Vera's 10-fight experience advantage (15 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Marlon Vera for the expected result. Had Sean O'Malley pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Marlon Vera | Sean O'Malley |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 096 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Marlon Vera | Sean O'Malley |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:40 | 4:40 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 368 | 1 251 |
| ELO Change | +97 | -45 |
Marlon Vera earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:40, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Marlon Vera | Sean O'Malley |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 30 | 21 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 18 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 328 | 1 267 |
| ELO Change | +92 | -92 |
Marlon Vera edged the striking exchanges with 18 vs 10 significant strikes, 60.0% vs 47.6% accuracy. Marlon Vera capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Marlon Vera | Sean O'Malley |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:11 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 205 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -54 |
Marlon Vera controlled Sean O'Malley on the ground with 7 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Marlon Vera | Sean O'Malley |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 91 | 70 |
| Activity ELO | 1 241 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -18 |
Marlon Vera demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Marlon Vera capitalized on this activity level, while Sean O'Malley's 70-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Marlon Vera | Sean O'Malley |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 141 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Marlon Vera started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sean O'Malley is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Marlon Vera | Sean O'Malley |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 096 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.