November 23, 2018
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Martin Day | Pingyuan Liu |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 975 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Martin Day | Pingyuan Liu |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Martin Day | Pingyuan Liu |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 991 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Pingyuan Liu receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Martin Day | Pingyuan Liu |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 100 | 55 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 184 | 133 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 127 | 73 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 951 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +49 |
Martin Day controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (127 vs 73 total strikes), significant strike advantage (100 vs 55), superior accuracy (54.3% vs 41.4%), 1 knockdown. However, since Martin Day lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Pingyuan Liu's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Martin Day | Pingyuan Liu |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:13 | 4:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 14 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 976 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Pingyuan Liu landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Martin Day | Pingyuan Liu |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +40 |
Pingyuan Liu demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Pingyuan Liu capitalized on this activity level, while Martin Day's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Martin Day | Pingyuan Liu |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Pingyuan Liu extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Martin Day is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Martin Day | Pingyuan Liu |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.