February 5, 2021
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Martin Day | Timur Valiev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 900 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +28 |
Timur Valiev overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Martin Day.
| Metric | Martin Day | Timur Valiev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 921 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Martin Day | Timur Valiev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 869 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Timur Valiev earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Martin Day | Timur Valiev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 55 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 28 | 76 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 24 | 115 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 804 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Timur Valiev dominated the striking exchanges with 115 vs 24 total strikes, 55 vs 8 significant strikes, 72.4% vs 28.6% accuracy. Timur Valiev capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Martin Day | Timur Valiev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:15 | 11:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 33 |
| Ground ELO | 750 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +51 |
Timur Valiev dominated Martin Day on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 11:19 of control time, 33 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Martin Day | Timur Valiev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 70 | 169 |
| Activity ELO | 921 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +30 |
Timur Valiev demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Timur Valiev capitalized on this activity level, while Martin Day's 70-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Martin Day | Timur Valiev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 921 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +19 |
Timur Valiev started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Martin Day is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Martin Day | Timur Valiev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 921 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.