September 5, 2008
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Martin Kampmann | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 086 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Nate Marquardt's 3-fight experience advantage (8 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nate Marquardt for the expected result. Had Martin Kampmann pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Martin Kampmann | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 057 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Martin Kampmann | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:22 | 1:22 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 197 | 1 328 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +107 |
Nate Marquardt earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:22, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Martin Kampmann | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 7 | 36 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 2 | 27 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 053 | 1 374 |
| ELO Change | -177 | +177 |
Nate Marquardt controlled the striking exchanges with 27 vs 2 total strikes, 22 vs 1 significant strikes, 61.1% vs 14.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Nate Marquardt capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Martin Kampmann | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:08 | 0:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 203 | 1 313 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +51 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Martin Kampmann | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 91 | 91 |
| Activity ELO | 1 115 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +56 |
Nate Marquardt demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Nate Marquardt capitalized on this activity level, while Martin Kampmann's 91-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Martin Kampmann | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 075 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Nate Marquardt started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Martin Kampmann is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Martin Kampmann | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 057 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

