June 11, 2010
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Martin Kampmann | Paulo Thiago |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 096 | 1 143 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Martin Kampmann's 5-fight experience advantage (10 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Martin Kampmann for the expected result. Had Paulo Thiago pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Martin Kampmann | Paulo Thiago |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 102 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Martin Kampmann | Paulo Thiago |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 257 | 1 211 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Martin Kampmann earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Martin Kampmann | Paulo Thiago |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 59 | 40 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 47 | 17 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 161 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -62 |
Martin Kampmann controlled the striking exchanges with 47 vs 17 total strikes, 24 vs 13 significant strikes, 40.7% vs 32.5% accuracy. Martin Kampmann capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Martin Kampmann | Paulo Thiago |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:59 | 1:33 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 298 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Martin Kampmann edged out Paulo Thiago on the ground with 1 takedown, 6:59 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Martin Kampmann | Paulo Thiago |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 215 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -20 |
Martin Kampmann demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Martin Kampmann capitalized on this activity level, while Paulo Thiago's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Martin Kampmann | Paulo Thiago |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 124 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Martin Kampmann extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Paulo Thiago is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Martin Kampmann | Paulo Thiago |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 102 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.