November 18, 2011
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Martin Kampmann | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 019 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
Martin Kampmann's 4-fight experience advantage (13 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Martin Kampmann for the expected result. Had Rick Story pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Martin Kampmann | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 080 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Martin Kampmann | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 219 | 1 212 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Martin Kampmann receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Martin Kampmann | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 61 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 147 | 170 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 55 | 73 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 146 | 1 234 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Rick Story controlled the striking through superior volume (73 vs 55 total strikes), significant strike advantage (61 vs 38), superior accuracy (35.9% vs 25.9%). However, since Rick Story lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Martin Kampmann's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Martin Kampmann | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:55 | 0:37 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 290 | 1 194 |
| ELO Change | +107 | -107 |
Martin Kampmann controlled Rick Story on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 4:55 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Martin Kampmann | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 261 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 199 | 1 225 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -26 |
Martin Kampmann demonstrated standard activity with 261 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Martin Kampmann capitalized on this activity level, while Rick Story's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Martin Kampmann | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 108 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -26 |
Martin Kampmann started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rick Story is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Martin Kampmann | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 080 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.